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Rectal Cancer Neoadjuvant Therapy Selection

Rectal Cancer Neoadjuvant Therapy Selection: Rectal adenocarcinoma, no metastases (M0) → Tumour dMMR or MSI-H? → dMMR/MSI-H: do not start with chemother...

Pathway Overview

15 steps

Algorithm Steps

15 total

  1. 01Start

    Rectal adenocarcinoma, no metastases (M0)

    Biopsy-proven. Staged with pelvic MRI, CT of chest, abdomen and pelvis, baseline CEA and complete colonoscopy (CT colonography if impassable). Plan at the colorectal MDT before any treatment.

  2. 02Decision

    Tumour dMMR or MSI-H?

    Test mismatch repair (IHC) or MSI on the biopsy in every patient before choosing neoadjuvant therapy.

  3. If Yes
    1. dMMR/MSI-H
    2. 03Warning

      dMMR/MSI-H: do not start with chemotherapy alone

      dMMR rectal cancer can progress on neoadjuvant chemotherapy but responds well to PD-1 blockade. Chemoradiotherapy still downstaged most tumours in the same series.

      • Progression on FOLFOX or CAPOX in 6 of 21 patients in one series
      • Refer for Lynch syndrome assessment; MLH1 loss: test MLH1 promoter methylation
      • Dostarlimab is not TGA-registered for rectal cancer
    3. 04End

      dMMR/MSI-H: MDT; PD-1 blockade if locally advanced (trial or off-label)

      Locally advanced (cT3–T4 or node-positive): in a phase 2 study, dostarlimab every 3 weeks for 6 months gave a clinical complete response in all 49 patients who completed it. Complete response: watch-and-wait with close surveillance. Residual disease, or immunotherapy not possible: chemoradiotherapy and TME per MDT. cT1–T2 N0: surgery as for early tumours; no routine pre-op radiotherapy.

    If No
    1. pMMR/MSS
    2. 05Decision

      Early tumour: cT1–T2, N0?

      On pelvic MRI (endorectal ultrasound can help for cT1). cT3–T4 or node-positive: locally advanced.

    3. If Yes
      1. cT1-2 N0
      2. 06End

        cT1–T2 N0: surgery; no routine pre-op radiotherapy

        Shared decision on TME, transanal local excision (TAMIS or TEMS) or ESD for selected tumours. Pre-operative radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy only in a clinical trial. After local excision with adverse pathology (pT2, high-risk pT1 or involved margin): MDT for completion TME.

      If No
      1. Locally advanced
      2. 07Warning

        Before fluoropyrimidine chemotherapy or pelvic radiotherapy

        Also: warfarin with capecitabine raises INR, so monitor INR closely. Coronary artery disease: higher risk of fluoropyrimidine cardiotoxicity (angina, MI, arrhythmia). Prior pelvic radiotherapy or active IBD: radiation oncology review first. Discuss fertility preservation before pelvic radiotherapy.

        • DPYD genotype before starting (MBS item 73322). Complete DPD deficiency: do not give. Partial: reduced dose
        • Capecitabine: contraindicated if CrCl below 30 mL/min or severe hepatic impairment
        • Pregnancy: chemotherapy and pelvic radiotherapy contraindicated. Pregnancy test first
      3. 08Decision

        High risk on MRI?

        Any of: cT4; mesorectal fascia (MRF) involved (tumour 1 mm or less from MRF); EMVI; cN2; enlarged lateral pelvic nodes.

      4. If Yes
        1. High risk
        2. 09Action

          High risk: total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT)

          Options: short-course RT 5 × 5 Gy, then CAPOX or FOLFOX (RAPIDO). Or long-course chemoradiotherapy with consolidation or induction FOLFOX or CAPOX (OPRA). Or FOLFIRINOX, then chemoradiotherapy (PRODIGE 23; fit, age 18–75).

          • Chemoradiotherapy first, then chemotherapy: more organ preservation (OPRA)
          • Short-course TNT: more locoregional recurrence at 5 years than long-course CRT (10% vs 6%, RAPIDO)
          • Not fit for oxaliplatin: long-course chemoradiotherapy or short-course RT alone
          • Regimen and doses: eviQ or local protocol
        3. 10Action

          Restage after neoadjuvant therapy

          DRE, endoscopy and pelvic MRI, with CT of chest, abdomen and pelvis, about 8 weeks (4–12) after the last treatment. Short-course RT with immediate surgery (within 1 week): no restaging, go to TME.

        4. 11Decision

          Clinical response at restaging?

          Graded as complete, near-complete or incomplete on DRE, endoscopy and MRI.

        5. cCR
        6. 12End

          Complete (cCR): offer watch-and-wait or TME

          Only with informed consent (regrowth risk) and a structured surveillance programme. OPRA schedule: DRE and endoscopy every 4 months for 2 years, then every 6 months to 5 years; MRI every 6 months for 2 years, then yearly; CT of chest, abdomen and pelvis at least yearly. Regrowth: salvage TME.

        7. Near-complete
        8. 13End

          Near-complete: MDT to re-evaluate or proceed to TME

          Options: reassess after a further interval and offer watch-and-wait if the response becomes complete; local excision in selected patients; or TME.

        9. Incomplete
        10. 14End

          Incomplete response: TME surgery

          Low anterior resection or abdominoperineal resection by tumour level and sphincter involvement. New metastases or progression at restaging: MDT (metastatic pathway), not direct TME. After surgery: MDT review of the pathology for adjuvant therapy.

        If No
        1. Not high risk
        2. 15Action

          Not high risk (for example cT3, MRF clear): MDT options

          Long-course chemoradiotherapy, or short-course RT then surgery, or TNT if organ preservation is a goal. cT2 N1 or cT3 N0–N1 suited to sphincter-sparing surgery: FOLFOX, with chemoradiotherapy only if poor response (PROSPECT). Upper rectum, MRF clear: upfront TME is an option.

          • Long-course: 50–50.4 Gy in 25–28 fractions with capecitabine or infusional 5-FU
          • Short-course: 5 × 5 Gy; delayed surgery gives more complete responses than immediate surgery
          • Frail or unfit for chemotherapy: short-course RT alone
        3. Path rejoins step 10Shared downstream outcome

Guideline Source

ESMO Clinical Practice Guideline: Localised rectal cancer (Hofheinz et al., Ann Oncol 2025)

Clinical Safety Information

Clinical Decision Support — Not a Substitute for Clinical Judgment

Individual patient factors may require deviation from these recommendations.

Known Limitations

  • For non-metastatic rectal adenocarcinoma only; not for metastatic or recurrent disease or other tumour types.
  • PD-1 blockade for dMMR rectal cancer rests on phase 2 data; dostarlimab is not TGA-registered for this use.
  • Regimens and doses: follow eviQ or local protocols.
  • Watch-and-wait needs a centre with a structured surveillance programme.

Contraindicated Populations

Metastatic (M1) or locally recurrent rectal cancerChildren and adolescentsPregnancy (chemotherapy and pelvic radiotherapy contraindicated)Non-adenocarcinoma tumours (for example anal squamous cell carcinoma, neuroendocrine tumour, GIST)

Applicable Regions

USAUUKEU

AU: DPYD genotyping is Medicare-funded (MBS item 73322, from 1 Nov 2025). Regimens: eviQ. Dostarlimab is TGA-registered for endometrial cancer only. Optimal care pathway for colorectal cancer applies.

EU: ESMO 2025 localised rectal cancer guideline.

UK: NICE NG151: pre-operative RT or CRT for cT1-T2 N1-N2 or cT3-T4; not for cT1-T2 N0 outside trials; deferral of surgery after complete response with registry data.

US: NCCN Rectal Cancer guideline (current version).

Version 2Next review: 2027-09-30

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Rectal Cancer Neoadjuvant Therapy Selection?

The Rectal Cancer Neoadjuvant Therapy Selection is a management clinical algorithm for Colorectal Surgery. It provides a structured decision tree to guide clinical decision-making, based on ESMO Clinical Practice Guideline: Localised rectal cancer (Hofheinz et al., Ann Oncol 2025).

What guideline is the Rectal Cancer Neoadjuvant Therapy Selection based on?

This algorithm is based on ESMO Clinical Practice Guideline: Localised rectal cancer (Hofheinz et al., Ann Oncol 2025) (DOI: 10.1016/j.annonc.2025.05.528).

What are the limitations of the Rectal Cancer Neoadjuvant Therapy Selection?

Known limitations include: For non-metastatic rectal adenocarcinoma only; not for metastatic or recurrent disease or other tumour types.; PD-1 blockade for dMMR rectal cancer rests on phase 2 data; dostarlimab is not TGA-registered for this use.; Regimens and doses: follow eviQ or local protocols.; Watch-and-wait needs a centre with a structured surveillance programme.. Individual patient factors may require deviation from these recommendations.

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